Долар підскочив: що далі?

Експерти впевнені: це яскрава демонстрація того, як поводить себе ринок в умовах відсутності припливу валюти з боку нерезидентів

Передноворічні дні привнесли на валютний ринок сюрпризи. 27 грудня долар, який, здавалося, гривня поклала на обидві лопатки, несподівано підстрибнув. У багатьох столичних обмінниках “зелений” знову переступив 24-грівнневий кордон, але, судячи з коментарів в Мережі, це не здивувало ні простих українців, ні експертів.

“Ну нарешті! Приємно дивитися”, – коментують відвідувачі фінансового форуму.

“Як приємно буде продати долар по 25-26, а то й по 26 -27!”.

“28 – в самий раз! І не треба сюрпризів!”

“Купуйте поки не пізно! Не за горами долар по 30!”

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Насправді дефіцит торгового балансу і бюджетні проблеми – зовсім не на користь гривні.

Попит і пропозиція роз’їхалися з-за невизначеності майбутніх рухів, і ситуація, швидше за все, збережеться через те, що в повну силу міжбанк вже запрацює тільки 2 січня. А після канікул знову будемо стежити за нерезидентами, які можуть схилити чашу терезів на будь-яку сторону, хоча також важливо, як будуть себе вести НБУ і Мінфін.

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